List Proportional Representation is the Liberal Democrat's raison d'etre. That and selling the country out to the European Union. These are the red lines that mean that I cannot vote for this otherwise admirable civil libertarian party. At the moment, given the polls, there is an outside chance on the fabled Uniform National Swing (UNS) that would see Labour beaten into third place yet become the largest party in a Hung parliament.
Clearly that would be a disastrous result. But such a result is always a mathematical possibility in a First Past The Post electoral system. The fact that it is in danger of happening, doesn't mean we have to abandon a system which has given the country plenty of good Governments who have radically changed this country. If the result is clearly unsatisfactory, then we can always have another election - the usual result of an Hung Parliament.
In some ways, PR would not change anything. Coalitions would still be necessary, it's just that at present the coalitions are within parties rather than between them. The Tories for example range from Libertarians like Dan Hannan to authoritarians like Anne Widdicombe and Chris Grayling. Labour ranges from Hard Leftists like Dennis Skinner and Gordon Brown, to managerialist spivs like James Purnell. The Liberal Democrats are united only in footwear.
What unites the Liberal Democrats.Under PR, the Tories would probably splinter into a UKIP faction, a High Tory patrician faction (let's call them Christian Democrats), and a Libertarian faction. The Labour party would splinter into the Facists, Fabians, Greens and the socialists, who would then sub-splinter into all manner of Socialist lunacies (People's front of Judea?... SPITTERS!). Would the Orange-Bookers manage to stay with the Ex Social Democratic Party within the Liberal Democrats?
As things stand, these coalitions publish manifestos on which the people (in theory) vote. It is clear what shape the governing coalition will take. But that is not the only benefit of the system we've got.
It gets rid of unpopular Governments: 1979, 1997 are the two best recent examples. And that is the point of democracy. It is not a tribal head-count. Nor can a quintennial poll accurately gauge opinion on any specific issue. As the talking heads are so keen to point out, people are not interested in politics. What they want is to be governed reasonably, efficiently and for that government to tax us as little as possible for the services we contract out to them. When that government fails to live up to our expectations, or gets "arrogant and out of touch", we give them their marching orders so that team can spend a decade in opposition working out how to please the electorate again. As I've said again and again democracy is not about tribal head counts but in getting rid of unpopular governments
It delivers a clear mandate for a government to implement a manifesto. Obviously that assumes a basic level of decency. Labour's 1997 manifesto for example committed them to voting reform. But they quietly ignored that with the landslide they got, because New Labour are dishonest spivs to whom old labour sold their soul for a sniff of power. Manifestos may not have legal force, but thanks to the parliament act they are constitutional documents. Clearly PR would assume that much of a party's manifesto would be ditched in the post election horse-trading, especially if it was radical.
Under First Past the Post, a party must be strong across the country. It cannot pile up votes in heartlands, like Labour in the 80's or the Tories in the Noughties and expect to win. It requires a governing party win in cities and the country, in the north and south. Under pure list PR a populous region can bully the rest of the country.
The importance of the constituency link. If you allow the recall of MPs as the Tories propose, then this could become the most powerful democratising force again. For the objection of many to the "safe seat" phenomenon at least there is a specific electorate who must be happy to re-elect an individual. Highgate for example, Thatcher's safe seat is now a Labour constituency. Under PR, those at the top of lists will NEVER lose their seats unless the party is wiped out. No chance of a Portillo moment or castration as Labour loses Balls. Who's at the top of the list? The PARTY decides. Under PR, you will NEVER get to remove the political elite.
This leads us onto the main objections to PR. It enshrines parties in the constitution. Instead of supposedly principled individuals being elected, it is parties which get the vote. There is no chance therefore of the Martin Bells, the Kidderminster Hospital gang or the Independent Labour candidates getting elected to poke a finger in the eye of the Party machines. And because of this, PR entrenches the political class that everyone so hates.
The people don't want PR though they will be all too easily persuaded that this is the answer. They want leadership. And they may want the kind of change - more localism, less tax, less debt, less interference, and more control over services that the Conservatives are offering. But they've bought the Labour lie that the Tories offer no change.
PR requires absolutely massive swings to change the direction of Government. Because the deals to create a government are done behind closed doors, in the aftermath of an election, one or more of the smaller parties can be persuaded to abandon a principle or two in order to get its leader into the Cabinet. Whilst the people may like the
idea of compromise, in practice it looks very similar to corruption.
Thatcher and Churchill are the most popular politicians of the 20th century because they offered LEADERSHIP, not compromise. Leadership is almost impossible under PR which enshrines management of coalitions.
It's up to parties to have the guts give the people what they want, not what they think they want - and that means having principles. If the past few days have shown anything it is that policies are of no interest to the population or the media. The Tories, for example unveiled the most radical decentralising manifesto I could have wished for, yet people in the media are still saying they're 'just the same as Labour'. I don't care if you think the Tories are Mad, Bad or Wrong. There are a lot of people who don't want reform in education (they're called teachers). There are a lot of people who don't want directly elected police chiefs (they're called chief constables). There are lots of people who want to keep spending on tick (they're called idiots). These people want to keep public services in thrall to the producer interest. But please, don't buy Labours pernicious lie that the Tories represent 'more of the same'.
But if you want 'Change' please try the Tories before you further rape the constitution which has evolved organically for a thousand years and served pretty well until the savage, incompetent spivs of new Labour arrived to ruin it. We're about to throw the worst Government in history out on its arse - Brown is the first sitting PM ever to be third in the polls. We do not need to throw the constitution out too.